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CA-06 House election: Kevin Kiley vote percent

Markets

  • At least 42%

    • Yes61%
    • No39%

    Volume $285.5 · Liquidity $205

  • At least 50%

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $39.2 · Liquidity $39.2

  • At least 44%

    • Yes51%
    • No49%

    Volume $22.7 · Liquidity $22.7

  • At least 36%

    • Yes96%
    • No4%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 38%

    • Yes92%
    • No8%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 40%

    • Yes80%
    • No20%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 46%

    • Yes26%
    • No74%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 48%

    • Yes13%
    • No87%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 52%

    • Yes4%
    • No97%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Kevin Kiley in the 2026 CA-06 House election is 36% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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