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CA-23 House election: Jay Obernolte vote percent

Markets

  • At least 50%

    • Yes96%
    • No5%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 52%

    • Yes92%
    • No8%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 54%

    • Yes81%
    • No19%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 56%

    • Yes65%
    • No35%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 58%

    • Yes45%
    • No55%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 60%

    • Yes27%
    • No73%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 62%

    • Yes13%
    • No87%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 64%

    • Yes7%
    • No94%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Jay Obernolte in the 2026 CA-23 House election is 50% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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