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IA-04 House election: Dave Dawson vote percent

Markets

  • At least 44%

    • Yes17%
    • No83%

    Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $588

  • At least 42%

    • Yes29%
    • No71%

    Volume $1K · Liquidity $1K

  • At least 46%

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $39.2 · Liquidity $39.2

  • At least 40%

    • Yes43%
    • No57%

    Volume $11.2 · Liquidity $11.2

  • At least 30%

    • Yes97%
    • No4%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 32%

    • Yes95%
    • No5%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 34%

    • Yes87%
    • No13%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 36%

    • Yes71%
    • No29%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 38%

    • Yes51%
    • No49%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Dave Dawson in the 2026 IA-04 House election is 30% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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