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LA-04 House election: Matt Gromlich vote percent (1st Round)

Markets

  • At least 38%

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $4.6K · Liquidity $1.2K

  • At least 30%

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $4.3K · Liquidity $4K

  • At least 34%

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $1.7K · Liquidity $1.3K

  • At least 32%

    • Yes15%
    • No85%

    Volume $1.7K · Liquidity $1.5K

  • At least 36%

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $1.7K · Liquidity $1.4K

  • At least 40%

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $1.4K · Liquidity $1.4K

  • At least 12%

    • Yes32%
    • No68%

    Volume $810 · Liquidity $397

  • At least 14%

    • Yes22%
    • No78%

    Volume $602 · Liquidity $200

  • At least 42%

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $600 · Liquidity $600

  • At least 10%

    • Yes60%
    • No40%

    Volume $400 · Liquidity $10

  • At least 6%

    • Yes94%
    • No6%

    Volume $205 · Liquidity $205

  • At least 4%

    • Yes97%
    • No3%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 8%

    • Yes73%
    • No27%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 16%

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 18%

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 44%

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Matt Gromlich in the first round of the 2026 LA-04 House election is 4% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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