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MA-04 House election: Tom Stalcup vote percent

Markets

  • At least 34%

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $4.4K · Liquidity $3K

  • At least 36%

    • Yes29%
    • No71%

    Volume $400 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 30%

    • Yes81%
    • No19%

    Volume $205 · Liquidity $205

  • At least 26%

    • Yes97%
    • No4%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 28%

    • Yes93%
    • No7%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 32%

    • Yes64%
    • No36%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 38%

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 40%

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 42%

    • Yes4%
    • No97%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Tom Stalcup in the 2026 MA-04 House election is 26% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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