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NY-05 House election: George Marsh vote percent

Markets

  • At least 14%

    • Yes97%
    • No3%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 16%

    • Yes97%
    • No3%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 18%

    • Yes96%
    • No5%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 20%

    • Yes84%
    • No16%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 22%

    • Yes61%
    • No39%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 24%

    • Yes35%
    • No65%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 26%

    • Yes15%
    • No85%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 28%

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 30%

    • Yes4%
    • No97%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by George Marsh in the 2026 NY-05 House election is 14% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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