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NY-12 House election: Caroline Shinkle vote percent

Markets

  • At least 18%

    • Yes63%
    • No37%

    Volume $493.9 · Liquidity $483.9

  • At least 16%

    • Yes59%
    • No41%

    Volume $394.5 · Liquidity $384.5

  • At least 14%

    • Yes78%
    • No22%

    Volume $383.6 · Liquidity $205

  • At least 22%

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume $192.2 · Liquidity $192.2

  • At least 20%

    • Yes18%
    • No82%

    Volume $125 · Liquidity $125

  • At least 6%

    • Yes97%
    • No3%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 8%

    • Yes97%
    • No3%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 10%

    • Yes97%
    • No3%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 12%

    • Yes96%
    • No4%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Caroline Shinkle in the 2026 NY-12 House election is 6% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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