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NY-21 House election: Michael Metzgier vote percent

Markets

  • At least 2%

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $830 · Liquidity $717.5

  • At least 1%

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $608.3 · Liquidity $608.3

  • At least 3%

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $8.5 · Liquidity $8.5

  • At least 4%

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 5%

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 6%

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 7%

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Michael Metzgier in the 2026 NY-21 House election is 1% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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