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NY-23 House election: Aaron Gies vote percent

Markets

  • At least 32%

    • Yes96%
    • No4%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 34%

    • Yes92%
    • No8%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 36%

    • Yes80%
    • No20%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 38%

    • Yes63%
    • No37%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 40%

    • Yes42%
    • No58%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 42%

    • Yes24%
    • No76%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 44%

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 46%

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 48%

    • Yes4%
    • No97%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Aaron Gies in the 2026 NY-23 House election is 32% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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