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WA-05 House election: Michael Baumgartner vote percent

Markets

  • At least 52%

    • Yes63%
    • No37%

    Volume $210 · Liquidity $205

  • At least 54%

    • Yes43%
    • No57%

    Volume $10 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 50%

    • Yes79%
    • No21%

    Volume $5 · Liquidity $5

  • At least 56%

    • Yes37%
    • No63%

    Volume $5 · Liquidity $5

  • At least 58%

    • Yes23%
    • No77%

    Volume $5 · Liquidity $5

  • At least 60%

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $5 · Liquidity $5

  • At least 62%

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $5 · Liquidity $5

  • At least 48%

    • Yes94%
    • No7%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 64%

    • Yes4%
    • No97%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Michael Baumgartner in the 2026 WA-05 House election is 48% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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