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Alaska Senate election: Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. vote percent (1st Round)

Markets

  • At least 4%

    • Yes42%
    • No58%

    Volume $205 · Liquidity $205

  • At least 2%

    • Yes92%
    • No8%

    Volume $202 · Liquidity $202

  • At least 3%

    • Yes66%
    • No34%

    Volume $200 · Liquidity $200

  • At least 1%

    • Yes97%
    • No4%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 5%

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 6%

    • Yes7%
    • No94%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 7%

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • At least 8%

    • Yes4%
    • No97%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. in the first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election is 1% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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