Skip to content

When will an AI lab solve another Millennium Prize Problem?

Markets

  • Before 2027

    • Yes29%
    • No71%

    Volume $5.5K · Liquidity $3K

  • Before Oct 1, 2026

    Closed
    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $3.1K · Liquidity $2.3K

  • Before Dec 1, 2026

    • Yes16%
    • No84%

    Volume $2.2K · Liquidity $910.2

  • Before Nov 1, 2026

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $2.1K · Liquidity $875

  • Before Jul 1, 2027

    • Yes51%
    • No49%

    Volume $465.5 · Liquidity $361.1

  • Before 2028

    • Yes69%
    • No31%

    Volume $384.7 · Liquidity $309

Resolution rules

If any AI lab solves another Millennium Prize Problem after Issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses