When will AI score above 170 on Epoch Capabilities Index?
Markets
Before Jan 1, 2027
- Yes78%
- No22%
Volume $541 · Liquidity $400
Before Dec 1, 2026
- Yes49%
- No51%
Volume $200 · Liquidity $200
Before Feb 1, 2027
- Yes86%
- No14%
Volume $23.5 · Liquidity $16.6
Before Apr 1, 2027
- Yes94%
- No7%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Before Jul 1, 2027
- Yes96%
- No4%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Resolution rules
If any AI model company records above 170 on Epoch AI's Epoch Capabilities Index (General ECI) ( after market issuance and before December 1, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
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