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How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?

Markets

  • Above 2

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $58.1K · Liquidity $21.4K

  • Above 1

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume $51K · Liquidity $17.8K

  • Above 0

    Closed
    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $46.1K · Liquidity $12.6K

  • Above 3

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $20.6K · Liquidity $7K

  • Above 4

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $15.6K · Liquidity $4.9K

  • Above 5

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $6.4K · Liquidity $2.7K

  • Above 7

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $4.1K · Liquidity $2.7K

  • Above 6

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $2.3K · Liquidity $1.5K

Resolution rules

If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 0 hurricanes of hurricane category 3 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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