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Number of tropical storms in the Atlantic in 2026?

Markets

  • Above 10

    • Yes58%
    • No42%

    Volume $21.7K · Liquidity $6.8K

  • Above 18

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $10.1K · Liquidity $2.4K

  • Above 14

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $8.4K · Liquidity $3.5K

  • Above 16

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $8.1K · Liquidity $3.2K

  • Above 12

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $7.2K · Liquidity $2.3K

  • Above 30

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $829.5 · Liquidity $498.6

  • Above 20

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $659 · Liquidity $227.9

  • Above 25

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $216.1 · Liquidity $170.7

Resolution rules

If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 10 storms with maximum sustained windspeeds of 39 miles per hour or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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