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How many Central Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?

Markets

  • Above 4

    Closed
    • Yes94%
    • No6%

    Volume $2.4K · Liquidity $1K

  • Above 2

    Closed
    • Yes98%
    • No2%

    Volume $1.9K · Liquidity $1.1K

  • Above 5

    • Yes32%
    • No68%

    Volume $1.7K · Liquidity $769.4

  • Above 3

    Closed
    • Yes98%
    • No2%

    Volume $1.4K · Liquidity $973.4

  • Above 1

    Closed
    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $345.5 · Liquidity $344.5

Resolution rules

If more than 1 hurricane of category 1 or above occur in the Central Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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