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How many Eastern Pacific named storms will there be this year?

Markets

  • Above 19

    • Yes97%
    • No3%

    Volume $1.6K · Liquidity $838.2

  • Above 18

    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $1.6K · Liquidity $633.9

  • Above 20

    • Yes73%
    • No27%

    Volume $525.2 · Liquidity $107.8

  • Above 16

    Closed
    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $364.2 · Liquidity $281.7

  • Above 22

    • Yes22%
    • No78%

    Volume $354.7 · Liquidity $339.5

  • Above 17

    Closed
    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $275 · Liquidity $275

  • Above 26

    • Yes17%
    • No83%

    Volume $252.4 · Liquidity $246

  • Above 24

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume $249.5 · Liquidity $215.2

Resolution rules

If more than 16 named storms occur in the Eastern Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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