2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
Mercados
Republicans sweep
- Yes9%
- No91%
Volumen $22M · Liquidez $18.1M
R-House, D-Senate
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volumen $15.6M · Liquidez $12.4M
Democrats sweep
- Yes67%
- No33%
Volumen $6.8M · Liquidez $4.4M
D-House, R-Senate
- Yes25%
- No75%
Volumen $5.2M · Liquidez $3M
Reglas de resolución
If ALL of the following occur: House Control: Democratic, Senate Control: Democratic, then the market resolves to Yes.
Cómo leer estas probabilidades
Cada precio va de 0 a 1 dólar y se puede leer como la probabilidad que el mercado asigna a un resultado: 0,62 $ equivale aproximadamente a un 62 %. Los precios cambian con cada operación, así que son una estimación colectiva, no una garantía. Antes de operar, revisa las reglas de resolución de arriba, el volumen y la liquidez, y arriesga solo dinero que puedas permitirte perder.
Más mercados de Política
Which party will win the U.S. House?
Democratic Party: 92%
Vol. 24h $2.1M · Cierra 1 feb 2027
Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
Democratic Party: 68%
Vol. 24h $532.7K · Cierra 1 feb 2027
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
Above 52: 40%
Vol. 24h $364.6K · Cierra 1 feb 2027
How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?
Below 193: 36%
Vol. 24h $220.4K · Cierra 1 feb 2027
How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?
48: 20%
Vol. 24h $186K · Cierra 1 feb 2027
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
234-237: 17%
Vol. 24h $134.4K · Cierra 1 feb 2027
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes)
Below 53: 61%
Vol. 24h $69.7K · Cierra 1 feb 2027
Midterms: Democratic mega tsunami?
No: 77%
Vol. 24h $27.8K · Cierra 1 feb 2027
Red wave in 2026?
No: 94%
Vol. 24h $12.9K · Cierra 1 feb 2027
How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress in 2026?
At least 1: 32%
Vol. 24h $340.7 · Cierra 1 feb 2027
Midterms: Blue trickle?
Yes: 91%
Vol. 24h $302 · Cierra 1 feb 2027
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Directional)
Above 211: 95%
Vol. 24h $285.5 · Cierra 1 feb 2027

