Red wave in 2026?
Mercados
Red wave in 2026?
- Yes6%
- No94%
Volumen $113.2K · Liquidez $92.3K
Reglas de resolución
If ALL of the following occur for the 2026 midterms: U.S. House: Republicans win 220 or more seats, U.S. Senate: Republicans hold 55 or more seats, then the market resolves to Yes.
Cómo leer estas probabilidades
Cada precio va de 0 a 1 dólar y se puede leer como la probabilidad que el mercado asigna a un resultado: 0,62 $ equivale aproximadamente a un 62 %. Los precios cambian con cada operación, así que son una estimación colectiva, no una garantía. Antes de operar, revisa las reglas de resolución de arriba, el volumen y la liquidez, y arriesga solo dinero que puedas permitirte perder.
Más mercados de Política
2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
Democrats sweep: 67%
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Which party will win the U.S. House?
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Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
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How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
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How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?
Below 193: 36%
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How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?
48: 20%
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How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
234-237: 17%
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How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes)
Below 53: 61%
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How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress in 2026?
At least 1: 32%
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Midterms: Blue trickle?
Yes: 91%
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How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Directional)
Above 211: 95%
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