Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (October 2026)
Mercados
At least 8
Cerrado- Yes98%
- No2%
Volumen $12.9K · Liquidez $11.2K
At least 10
- Yes15%
- No85%
Volumen $4.2K · Liquidez $1.8K
At least 20
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volumen $1.8K · Liquidez $542
At least 25
- Yes5%
- No95%
Volumen $1.2K · Liquidez $801
At least 12
- Yes10%
- No90%
Volumen $975.4 · Liquidez $390
At least 9
- Yes21%
- No79%
Volumen $767.2 · Liquidez $567.2
At least 16
- Yes9%
- No91%
Volumen $331.5 · Liquidez $161.5
At least 5
Cerrado- Yes99%
- No1%
Volumen $298.2 · Liquidez $298.2
At least 14
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0
Reglas de resolución
If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 5 in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Cómo leer estas probabilidades
Cada precio va de 0 a 1 dólar y se puede leer como la probabilidad que el mercado asigna a un resultado: 0,62 $ equivale aproximadamente a un 62 %. Los precios cambian con cada operación, así que son una estimación colectiva, no una garantía. Antes de operar, revisa las reglas de resolución de arriba, el volumen y la liquidez, y arriesga solo dinero que puedas permitirte perder.
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