Mercados de predicción de Política
Contratos de eventos de Kalshi en vivo sobre elecciones, el Congreso, políticas y líderes mundiales. Los precios muestran las probabilidades del público, no certezas.
Datos de Kalshi, actualizados ….
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2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
Democrats sweep: 67%
Vol. 24h $2.6M · Cierra 1 feb 2027
Which party will win the U.S. House?
Democratic Party: 92%
Vol. 24h $1.7M · Cierra 1 feb 2027
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
Jon Ossoff: 16%
Vol. 24h $668.4K · Cierra 7 nov 2028
Texas Governor winner?
Greg Abbott: 68%
Vol. 24h $531.9K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
Democratic Party: 69%
Vol. 24h $530.2K · Cierra 1 feb 2027
2028 Republican presidential nominee
J.D. Vance: 41%
Vol. 24h $437.1K · Cierra 7 nov 2028
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
Above 52: 38%
Vol. 24h $362.1K · Cierra 1 feb 2027
How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?
Below 193: 35%
Vol. 24h $256.8K · Cierra 1 feb 2027
Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
Anna Kelly: 19%
Vol. 24h $256.4K · Cierra 27 ene 2029
How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?
48: 21%
Vol. 24h $168.3K · Cierra 1 feb 2027
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
J.D. Vance: 19%
Vol. 24h $147.3K · Cierra 7 nov 2029
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
234-237: 17%
Vol. 24h $135.1K · Cierra 1 feb 2027
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes)
Below 53: 62%
Vol. 24h $120.3K · Cierra 1 feb 2027
Blue wave in 2026?
Yes: 83%
Vol. 24h $111.4K · Cierra 1 feb 2027
2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
Democrats, 8 to 10%: 25%
Vol. 24h $104.2K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Texas Senate margin of victory
James Talarico, 1+ pts: 63%
Vol. 24h $86.1K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
Gadi Eizenkot: 46%
Vol. 24h $74.4K · Cierra 27 oct 2027
Maine-Texas Senate Combo
James Talarico and Troy Jackson: 54%
Vol. 24h $59.3K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Texas Senate margin of victory
Ken Paxton, 1+ pts: 33%
Vol. 24h $56.1K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
New Hampshire Governor winner?
Kelly Ayotte: 94%
Vol. 24h $53.9K · Cierra 7 nov 2029
Texas Senate: Exact outcome
Talarico defeats Paxton: 67%
Vol. 24h $53.8K · Cierra 3 ene 2028
Blue tsunami in 2026?
Yes: 57%
Vol. 24h $52.2K · Cierra 1 feb 2027
Texas Governor margin of victory
Abbott, 1+ pts: 63%
Vol. 24h $45.5K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Taipei mayoral election winner?
Chiang Wan-an: 60%
Vol. 24h $39.1K · Cierra 28 nov 2027
Texas Governor-Senate combo
Greg Abbott and James Talarico win: 38%
Vol. 24h $37.9K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Georgia Senate margin of victory
Ossoff, 2+ pts: 93%
Vol. 24h $35.8K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Michigan Senate margin of victory
El-Sayed, 1+ pts: 64%
Vol. 24h $31.9K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Midterms: Democratic mega tsunami?
No: 77%
Vol. 24h $30.5K · Cierra 1 feb 2027
North Carolina Senate margin of victory
Cooper, 1+ pts: 96%
Vol. 24h $27.6K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Tennessee Governor winner?
Marsha Blackburn: 94%
Vol. 24h $25.4K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Florida Senate margin of victory
Moody, 2+ pts: 92%
Vol. 24h $23.2K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
South Carolina Senate margin of victory
Graham, 1+ pts: 76%
Vol. 24h $18.7K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Red wave in 2026?
No: 95%
Vol. 24h $17.2K · Cierra 1 feb 2027
Reddest House district to elect a Democrat in 2026?
Trump +5 or more: 98%
Vol. 24h $16.8K · Cierra 15 dic 2026
Alabama Governor winner?
Tommy Tuberville: 95%
Vol. 24h $16K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Will the Onion Futures Act be repealed?
Before 2030: 27%
Vol. 24h $15.3K · Cierra 1 ene 2030
Who will hold more governorships after the midterms?
Democratic Party: 77%
Vol. 24h $15K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Minnesota Senate margin of victory
Flanagan, 1+ pts: 83%
Vol. 24h $14.7K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Florida Governor margin of victory
Donalds, 1+ pts: 80%
Vol. 24h $13.8K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Ohio Governor margin of victory
Acton, 1+ pts: 83%
Vol. 24h $11.8K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Who will be the second-highest ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 23, 2026?
Jon Ossoff: 50%
Vol. 24h $11.7K · Cierra 23 oct 2026
How much will the US acquire Greenland for?
$0 / No Acquisition: 89%
Vol. 24h $11K · Cierra 22 ene 2029
Mississippi Senate margin of victory
Hyde-Smith, 1+ pts: 89%
Vol. 24h $10.9K · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Brazil presidential runoff: who will win São Paulo?
Flávio Bolsonaro: 97%
Vol. 24h $9.7K · Cierra 25 oct 2027
2028 Democratic VP nominee
Elissa Slotkin: 9%
Vol. 24h $8.7K · Cierra 7 nov 2028
Next French presidential election winner?
Marine Le Pen: 53%
Vol. 24h $8.3K · Cierra 30 may 2028
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?
Pete Hegseth: 34%
Vol. 24h $7.6K · Cierra 20 ene 2029
Iowa Governor margin of victory
Sand, 1+ pts: 84%
Vol. 24h $6.7K · Cierra 3 nov 2027