Mercados de predicción de Política
Contratos de eventos de Kalshi en vivo sobre elecciones, el Congreso, políticas y líderes mundiales. Los precios muestran las probabilidades del público, no certezas.
Datos de Kalshi, actualizados ….
Solo informativo. No es asesoramiento financiero ni de apuestas. Las probabilidades reflejan precios de mercado, no certezas.
Who will run for Mississippi Governor in 2027?
Tommy Duff: 65%
Vol. 24h $23 · Cierra 2 feb 2027
Next French presidential election: 3rd place (1st round)
Jean-Luc Mélenchon: 29%
Vol. 24h $22.9 · Cierra 18 abr 2028
Will Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations during Trump's term?
No: 60%
Vol. 24h $22 · Cierra 20 ene 2029
Nebraska's 2nd District margin of victory
No: 96%
Vol. 24h $21.6 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Maryland's 2nd District margin of victory
Olszewski, 14+ pts: 92%
Vol. 24h $21 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Illinois's 11th District margin of victory
Foster, 8+ pts: 91%
Vol. 24h $21 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
How many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?
At least 4: 66%
Vol. 24h $20.5 · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Virginia 11 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 210K: 95%
Vol. 24h $20.5 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Will West Virginia require voters to be U.S. and West Virginia citizens?
Yes: 94%
Vol. 24h $20.2 · Cierra 2 nov 2027
Will League City vote to keep its Flock cameras?
Yes: 66%
Vol. 24h $20 · Cierra 18 nov 2026
Colorado's 3rd District margin of victory
Hurd, 1+ pts: 69%
Vol. 24h $20 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Illinois's 15th District margin of victory
Miller, 21+ pts: 88%
Vol. 24h $20 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Indiana's 7th District margin of victory
Carson, 34+ pts: 92%
Vol. 24h $20 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Georgia's 13th District margin of victory
Clark, 34+ pts: 93%
Vol. 24h $20 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
New York's 22nd District margin of victory
Mannion, 5+ pts: 84%
Vol. 24h $20 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Adamawa State Governor winner?
APC: 45%
Vol. 24h $20 · Cierra 6 feb 2028
Wyoming Senate General Election: voter turnout
Above 170K: 84%
Vol. 24h $20 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Will anyone win the Vermont Governor election outright?
Yes: 68%
Vol. 24h $20 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Utah's 3rd District margin of victory
Maloy, 19+ pts: 94%
Vol. 24h $20 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
When will AOC announce her presidential candidacy?
Before Oct 1, 2027: 59%
Vol. 24h $19.9 · Cierra 1 oct 2027
New Jersey's 2nd District margin of victory
Drew, 1+ pts: 68%
Vol. 24h $19 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Connecticut's 4th District margin of victory
Himes, 21+ pts: 89%
Vol. 24h $19 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Illinois's 13th District margin of victory
Budzinski, 9+ pts: 87%
Vol. 24h $19 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Which ballot measures will pass in Wisconsin?
Prohibit Government Closure of Places of Worship During Emergencies Amendment: 86%
Vol. 24h $18.4 · Cierra 2 nov 2027
Will Obamacare be repealed?
No: 84%
Vol. 24h $18 · Cierra 20 ene 2029
Which ballot measures will pass in Washington?
Initiative No. IL26-001: 53%
Vol. 24h $18 · Cierra 2 nov 2027
Montgomery County, Pennsylvania: Josh Shapiro vote percent
At least 64%: 97%
Vol. 24h $17.3 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
2028 Presidential matchup
Gavin Newsom v. JD Vance: 15%
Vol. 24h $17.1 · Cierra 7 nov 2028
Orange County, California: Xavier Becerra vote percent
At least 44%: 92%
Vol. 24h $17 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Minnesota 05 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 210K: 96%
Vol. 24h $17 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Alabama Governor General Election: voter turnout
Above 1.28M: 94%
Vol. 24h $16.7 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Connecticut's 2nd District margin of victory
Courtney, 8+ pts: 97%
Vol. 24h $16 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
South Dakota Governor margin of victory
Rhoden, 6+ pts: 89%
Vol. 24h $16 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Wyoming at large House General Election: voter turnout
Above 145K: 94%
Vol. 24h $16 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Arizona's 6th District margin of victory
Mendoza, 1+ pts: 79%
Vol. 24h $15 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Montana Senate General Election: voter turnout
Above 380K: 92%
Vol. 24h $15 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Indiana's 8th District margin of victory
Messmer, 17+ pts: 91%
Vol. 24h $15 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Nevada's 3rd District margin of victory
Lee, 1+ pts: 93%
Vol. 24h $14 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Will the U.S. and Iran hold a China-mediated meeting before Feb 1, 2027?
No: 86%
Vol. 24h $13.5 · Cierra 1 feb 2027
North Carolina's 3rd District margin of victory
Murphy, 1+ pts: 77%
Vol. 24h $12.9 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
North Carolina's 11th District margin of victory
Ager, 1+ pts: 59%
Vol. 24h $12.6 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term?
Samuel Alito: 63%
Vol. 24h $12.2 · Cierra 20 ene 2029
Florida's 9th District margin of victory
Soto, 10+ pts: 14%
Vol. 24h $11.8 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Will John Thune run for reelection?
Yes: 74%
Vol. 24h $11.7 · Cierra 28 mar 2028
Tarrant County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent
At least 50%: 98%
Vol. 24h $11.6 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Wisconsin's 1st District margin of victory
Steil, 2+ pts: 53%
Vol. 24h $11.5 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
North Dakota Senate winner? (2028)
Republican party: 86%
Vol. 24h $11.5 · Cierra 7 nov 2029
Tennessee Governor General Election: voter turnout
Above 1.6M: 92%
Vol. 24h $11.4 · Cierra 3 nov 2027