Mercados de predicción de Política
Contratos de eventos de Kalshi en vivo sobre elecciones, el Congreso, políticas y líderes mundiales. Los precios muestran las probabilidades del público, no certezas.
Datos de Kalshi, actualizados ….
Solo informativo. No es asesoramiento financiero ni de apuestas. Las probabilidades reflejan precios de mercado, no certezas.
Wisconsin's 1st District margin of victory
Steil, 2+ pts: 53%
Vol. 24h $11.5 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Tennessee Governor General Election: voter turnout
Above 1.6M: 92%
Vol. 24h $11.4 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Will Trump state that he has fired Lisa Cook?
Before Jul 1, 2027: 77%
Vol. 24h $11 · Cierra 1 jul 2027
When will Putin and Zelenskyy meet?
Before Jan 1, 2029: 28%
Vol. 24h $11 · Cierra 1 ene 2029
Georgia's 2nd District margin of victory
Bishop, 5+ pts: 92%
Vol. 24h $11 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Which ballot measures will pass in New Mexico?
Senior Citizen Facilities Bond: 94%
Vol. 24h $10.3 · Cierra 2 nov 2027
Kansas's 2nd District margin of victory
Schmidt, 1+ pts: 84%
Vol. 24h $10 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Illinois Senate margin of victory
Stratton, 9+ pts: 97%
Vol. 24h $10 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Montana Senate margin of victory
Alme, 1+ pts: 90%
Vol. 24h $10 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Will the U.S. take at least 1% stakes in both OpenAI and Anthropic?
Before Jan 20, 2029: 47%
Vol. 24h $10 · Cierra 20 ene 2029
Will Netanyahu be arrested?
Before Jan 1, 2027: 4%
Vol. 24h $10 · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Virginia's 9th District margin of victory
Griffith, 21+ pts: 94%
Vol. 24h $10 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028?
Before Apr 1, 2028: 54%
Vol. 24h $9.1 · Cierra 1 abr 2028
Which party will win the 2032 Presidential Election?
Democratic party: 47%
Vol. 24h $8 · Cierra 2 nov 2033
Kentucky Senate General Election: voter turnout
Above 1.27M: 94%
Vol. 24h $8 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Which jurisdictions will drop Flock before Feb 2027?
New Bedford, MA: 77%
Vol. 24h $7.3 · Cierra 1 feb 2027
Who will the next Pope be?
Luis Antonio Tagle: 15%
Vol. 24h $7 · Cierra 1 ene 2070
Will Matthew McConaughey run for office before 2028?
No: 68%
Vol. 24h $7 · Cierra 1 ene 2028
Who will be Israeli defense minister after the election?
Avigdor Lieberman: 24%
Vol. 24h $6.8 · Cierra 28 oct 2030
What will the U.S. withdraw from during the Trump Administration?
World Trade Organization: 24%
Vol. 24h $6.2 · Cierra 20 ene 2029
FTC investigation into AI book destruction in 2026?
No: 88%
Vol. 24h $6 · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Will the same party control the U.S. House and Senate?
Yes: 74%
Vol. 24h $6 · Cierra 1 feb 2027
Oklahoma Governor General Election: voter turnout
Above 970K: 96%
Vol. 24h $5.9 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
When will the U.S. have a Cabinet-level AI official?
Before Jan 1, 2029: 31%
Vol. 24h $5.7 · Cierra 1 ene 2029
Pennsylvania Governor General Election: voter turnout
Above 4.00M: 90%
Vol. 24h $5.3 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Florida's 14th District margin of victory
Castor, 2+ pts: 59%
Vol. 24h $5 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Tennessee's 8th District margin of victory
Kustoff, 7+ pts: 93%
Vol. 24h $5 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
When will Canada gain EU associate status?
Before 2029: 17%
Vol. 24h $5 · Cierra 1 ene 2029
When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA?
Before Aug 1, 2027: 47%
Vol. 24h $5 · Cierra 1 feb 2028
Ohio's 12th District margin of victory
Balderson, 12+ pts: 80%
Vol. 24h $5 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
New Hampshire's 1st District margin of victory
Shaheen, 1+ pts: 95%
Vol. 24h $5 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Texas's 2nd District margin of victory
Toth, 2+ pts: 85%
Vol. 24h $5 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Philadelphia County, Pennsylvania: Josh Shapiro vote percent
At least 80%: 97%
Vol. 24h $5 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Michigan's 12th District margin of victory
Tlaib, 34+ pts: 96%
Vol. 24h $5 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
New Jersey Senate margin of victory
Booker, 9+ pts: 99%
Vol. 24h $5 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
How many government shutdowns in 2026?
2: 68%
Vol. 24h $4.8 · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Kansas Senate General Election: voter turnout
Above 850K: 92%
Vol. 24h $4.7 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Maryland Governor margin of victory
Moore, 18+ pts: 94%
Vol. 24h $4.3 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
South Carolina Governor margin of victory
Wilson, 1+ pts: 91%
Vol. 24h $4 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
California's 48th District margin of victory
Wilpert, 3+ pts: 80%
Vol. 24h $4 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Will Congress override Trump's veto?
Before Jan 20, 2029: 35%
Vol. 24h $3.7 · Cierra 20 ene 2029
When will Gavin Newsom announce his presidential candidacy?
Before Mar 1, 2027: 87%
Vol. 24h $3.7 · Cierra 1 oct 2027
Louisiana: Which House races will be won outright?
LA-01: 97%
Vol. 24h $3.6 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Who will be the next President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta?
Michael Faulkender: 33%
Vol. 24h $3 · Cierra 8 ene 2030
How many executive orders will Trump sign in his second term?
Between 400 and 449: 20%
Vol. 24h $3 · Cierra 21 ene 2029
Hidalgo County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent
At least 52%: 97%
Vol. 24h $3 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Will Maine enact a law restricting large data centers?
Yes: 83%
Vol. 24h $2.8 · Cierra 1 ene 2028
Navajo Nation presidential election winner?
Justin Jones: 64%
Vol. 24h $2.7 · Cierra 3 nov 2027