Mercados de predicción de Política
Contratos de eventos de Kalshi en vivo sobre elecciones, el Congreso, políticas y líderes mundiales. Los precios muestran las probabilidades del público, no certezas.
Datos de Kalshi, actualizados ….
Solo informativo. No es asesoramiento financiero ni de apuestas. Las probabilidades reflejan precios de mercado, no certezas.
Kentucky Democratic Governor nominee?
Rocky Adkins: 70%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 17 may 2028
East Timor presidential election winner?
José Ramos-Horta: 22%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 29 feb 2028
Rosemont-La Petite-Patrie by-election winner?
Liberal: 53%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 12 abr 2028
Sapporo mayoral election winner?
Yu Arai: 43%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 10 abr 2028
Kanagawa gubernatorial election winner?
Yuji Kuroiwa: 42%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 10 abr 2028
Hokkaido gubernatorial election winner?
Naomichi Suzuki: 90%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 10 abr 2028
UK Renewables Obligation scheme changes
ROC recycle removal: 49%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2028
Who will be the next Supreme Court justice?
Andrew Oldham: 13%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 21 ene 2029
Texas 29 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 152K: 97%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Arkansas Senate winner? (2028)
Republican party: 96%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 7 nov 2029
Kentucky 05 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 170K: 89%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Kentucky 04 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 200K: 92%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
People's Party majority in the Assembly of Madrid?
Yes: 68%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 22 may 2028
Washington County, Ohio: Jon Husted vote percent
At least 56%: 97%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Wake County, North Carolina: Roy Cooper vote percent
At least 62%: 99%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Who will win the 2027 Uttar Pradesh Assembly election?
BJP-led NDA: 85%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 21 may 2028
Will a court rule Visa violated antitrust law on debit?
Yes: 58%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2030
Oakland County, Michigan: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent
At least 50%: 94%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Waukesha County, Wisconsin: Tom Tiffany vote percent
At least 50%: 97%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Will 3 mg THC beverages qualify as hemp under federal law?
On Dec 10, 2026: 99%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 20 nov 2027
Monterrey mayoral election winner?
PAN: 35%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 5 jun 2028
Which data center ballot measures will pass?
Alhambra, California Measure DB: 51%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Washington 08 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 250K: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Washington 05 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 240K: 94%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Vermont at large House General Election: voter turnout
Above 230K: 86%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Texas 31 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 220K: 94%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Texas 04 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 230K: 87%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Who will be the next Secretary of the Army?
Adam Telle: 41%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 8 ene 2030
Will South Korean President Lee Jae-myung serve their full term?
No: 56%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 jul 2030
Texas 01 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 160K: 96%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Tennessee 07 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 160K: 96%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Tennessee 03 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 160K: 96%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Wisconsin's 6th District margin of victory
Grothman, 2+ pts: 91%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Wisconsin's 5th District margin of victory
Fitzgerald, 9+ pts: 92%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Wisconsin's 4th District margin of victory
Moore, 43+ pts: 97%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Will Wales announce an independence referendum?
No: 75%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2030
Will Congress override Trump's veto?
Before Jan 20, 2029: 35%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 20 ene 2029
Will the Trump family be pardoned?
Yes: 83%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 21 ene 2029
South Carolina 04 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 210K: 93%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
South Carolina 03 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 200K: 92%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Rhode Island Senate General Election: voter turnout
Above 280K: 96%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Pennsylvania 12 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 230K: 96%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Pennsylvania 09 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 220K: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Pennsylvania 06 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 230K: 96%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Pennsylvania 04 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 250K: 96%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
California 10 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 200K: 93%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Cook County, Illinois: JB Pritzker vote percent
At least 70%: 96%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Oregon 04 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 250K: 96%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027