Mercados de predicción de Política
Contratos de eventos de Kalshi en vivo sobre elecciones, el Congreso, políticas y líderes mundiales. Los precios muestran las probabilidades del público, no certezas.
Datos de Kalshi, actualizados ….
Solo informativo. No es asesoramiento financiero ni de apuestas. Las probabilidades reflejan precios de mercado, no certezas.
Will SCOTUS let district courts hear constitutional challenges to veterans-benefits laws?
No: 75%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ago 2028
South Carolina 03 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 200K: 92%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Rhode Island Senate General Election: voter turnout
Above 280K: 96%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Pennsylvania 12 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 230K: 96%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
California 10 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 200K: 93%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Cook County, Illinois: JB Pritzker vote percent
At least 70%: 96%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Will SCOTUS require state-law compensation in private natural-gas condemnations?
Yes: 54%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ago 2028
Oregon 04 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 250K: 96%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
What countries will hold referenda on leaving the EU?
Hungary: 12%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2030
Oklahoma 05 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 210K: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Will the NPVIC reach 270 electoral votes?
Before 2034: 32%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2034
Oklahoma 04 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 180K: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Oklahoma 02 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 180K: 96%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Ohio 09 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 220K: 94%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Ohio 02 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 210K: 94%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Will a date be announced for another Quebec Referendum before 2029?
No: 83%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2029
New York 24 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 200K: 94%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
New York 23 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 200K: 96%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Will SCOTUS bar successive habeas claims that could have been raised earlier?
Yes: 69%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ago 2028
When will Canada announce a snap election?
Before Jul 1, 2028: 28%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 jul 2028
Turkish presidential election: first round winner?
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan: 63%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 7 may 2029
When will the EU enact a social media ban for children?
Before Apr 1, 2028: 34%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 abr 2028
New York 17 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 220K: 97%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
New York 16 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 170K: 92%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
New York 15 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 80K: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
New Mexico 02 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 160K: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?
Anthony Albanese: 35%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 23 sept 2029
New Jersey 11 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 200K: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
UK Renewables Obligation scheme changes
ROC recycle removal: 49%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2028
Will the EU's ETIAS accept applications before 2028?
Yes: 72%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2028
New Jersey 10 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 100K: 94%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
When will insulated copper cable face Section 232 restrictions?
Before Jan 1, 2028: 21%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2028
New Hampshire Senate General Election: voter turnout
Above 530K: 90%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
New Hampshire Governor General Election: voter turnout
Above 500K: 92%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
How many N.Y.C. Groceries stores will open before 2029?
At least 1: 92%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2029
When will the U.S. authorize a government AI kill switch?
Before Jan 1, 2028: 12%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2028
When will independent AI safety audits become U.S. law?
Before Jan 1, 2028: 40%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2028
When will AI biosecurity safeguards become U.S. law?
Before Jul 1, 2027: 84%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2028
Mississippi 01 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 165K: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Michigan 11 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 260K: 97%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Michigan 06 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 300K: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Prior offices of the President inaugurated in 2029?
U.S. Senator: 55%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 feb 2029
North Dakota governor winner? (2028)
Republican party: 89%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 7 nov 2029
2028 Green Presidential nominee
Butch Ware: 35%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 7 nov 2028
Will Trump make a recess appointment?
Before Jan 21, 2029: 12%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 21 ene 2029
Michigan 02 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 280K: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
When will CMS announce the addition of GLP-1 drugs for obesity to Part D?
Before Jan 20, 2029: 53%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 20 ene 2029
Will Census finalize a rule excluding undocumented immigrants?
No: 69%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 20 ene 2029