Mercados de predicción de Política
Contratos de eventos de Kalshi en vivo sobre elecciones, el Congreso, políticas y líderes mundiales. Los precios muestran las probabilidades del público, no certezas.
Datos de Kalshi, actualizados ….
Solo informativo. No es asesoramiento financiero ni de apuestas. Las probabilidades reflejan precios de mercado, no certezas.
Will a Trump family member be the 2028 Republican presidential nominee?
No: 96%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 7 nov 2028
Pennsylvania Democratic Senate nominee? (2028)
Summer Lee: 37%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 7 nov 2029
Illinois Governor General Election: voter turnout
Above 3.30M: 93%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Illinois 17 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 190K: 94%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Illinois 10 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 180K: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Illinois 03 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 140K: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Next Senate Democratic Leader?
Chuck Schumer: 82%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 31 dic 2028
Who will Trump nominate as U.S. Ambassador to Greece?
Gus Bilirakis: 13%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 20 ene 2029
Idaho 02 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 230K: 93%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Iowa 04 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 250K: 94%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Iowa 03 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 270K: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Georgia 06 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 250K: 87%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Will Brigitte Macron win her defamation lawsuit against Candace Owens?
Yes: 55%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2028
When will Wesley Hunt be confirmed as U.S. Ambassador to Saudi Arabia?
Before Jun 1, 2027: 65%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 jun 2027
Georgia 03 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 250K: 94%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Sanae Takaichi announces departure as Prime Minister of Japan?
Before Jan 1, 2029: 30%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2029
Georgia 01 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 210K: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Florida Senate General Election: voter turnout
Above 5.80M: 96%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Marco Rubio announces departure as Secretary of State?
Before Jan 1, 2029: 96%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2029
Florida 28 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 197K: 87%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Will Louise Lucas resign from the Virginia Senate?
Before Jan 1, 2028: 33%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2028
Will the D.C. Circuit fully affirm the Perkins Coie ruling?
Yes: 65%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2028
Lai Ching-te departure announced?
Before January 1, 2028: 27%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2028
Scott Bessent announces departure as Secretary of the Treasury?
Before Jan 1, 2029: 90%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2029
Florida 23 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 200K: 87%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Florida 22 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 230K: 92%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Florida 01 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 240K: 89%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
When will Kamala Harris announce her presidential candidacy?
Before Jul 1, 2027: 55%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 oct 2027
Will any UN country change its capital before 2028?
No: 80%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2028
When will Scotland call a snap election?
Before Jan 1, 2028: 26%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2028
Will Papua New Guinea ratify Bougainville independence?
Before Jan 1, 2028: 62%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2028
Connecticut Governor General Election: voter turnout
Above 1.00M: 89%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Connecticut 05 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 200K: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Connecticut 04 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 200K: 91%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Connecticut 02 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 230K: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Colorado 07 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 270K: 92%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Colorado 06 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 230K: 91%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Pennsylvania 15 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 200K: 96%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Pennsylvania 10 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 230K: 96%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Will CK Hutchison win its Panama ports arbitration?
No: 60%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2030
California 48 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 170K: 94%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
California 47 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 150K: 97%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
California 46 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 125K: 91%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
California 45 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 120K: 97%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
California 41 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 130K: 97%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Will SCOTUS bar unpled affirmative defenses at summary judgment?
Yes: 61%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ago 2028
Will SCOTUS let people seek green cards after their asylum is terminated?
No: 73%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ago 2028
California 39 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 115K: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027