Mercados de predicción de Política
Contratos de eventos de Kalshi en vivo sobre elecciones, el Congreso, políticas y líderes mundiales. Los precios muestran las probabilidades del público, no certezas.
Datos de Kalshi, actualizados ….
Solo informativo. No es asesoramiento financiero ni de apuestas. Las probabilidades reflejan precios de mercado, no certezas.
South Carolina Senate winner? (2028)
Republican party: 76%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 7 nov 2029
Montana's 2nd District margin of victory
Downing, 13+ pts: 89%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
When will a catastrophic AI duty of care become U.S. law?
Before Jan 1, 2028: 45%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2028
North Carolina's 1st District margin of victory
Buckhout, 2+ pts: 34%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
North Carolina's 4th District margin of victory
Foushee, 46+ pts: 88%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Washington Senate winner? (2028)
Democratic party: 97%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 7 nov 2029
2028 Libertarian Presidential nominee
Justin Amash: 30%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 7 nov 2028
North Carolina's 6th District margin of victory
McDowell, 2+ pts: 79%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
North Carolina's 8th District margin of victory
Harris, 2+ pts: 87%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
When will the U.S. have a Cabinet-level AI official?
Before Jan 1, 2029: 31%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2029
North Carolina's 9th District margin of victory
Hudson, 1+ pts: 63%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
North Carolina's 10th District margin of victory
Harrigan, 4+ pts: 87%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
North Carolina's 11th District margin of victory
Balkcom, 2+ pts: 27%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
New Jersey 01 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 140K: 97%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Will the EFTA II discharge petition reach 218 signatures?
No: 51%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 ene 2027
Washington's 7th District margin of victory
Jayapal, 65+ pts: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Michigan 02 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 280K: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
North Carolina's 12th District margin of victory
Adams, 41+ pts: 97%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Utah's 2nd District margin of victory
Moore, 9+ pts: 89%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Utah's 3rd District margin of victory
Maloy, 19+ pts: 94%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Utah's 4th District margin of victory
Kennedy, 13+ pts: 83%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
New Jersey 02 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 190K: 93%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Who will Elon Musk back a primary against in 2026?
Steve Daines: 3%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 feb 2027
New Jersey 03 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 200K: 94%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Virginia's 5th District margin of victory
McGuire, 3+ pts: 36%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
North Carolina's 13th District margin of victory
Knott, 3+ pts: 74%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
New Jersey 04 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 200K: 90%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Baja California Governor winner?
Morena: 85%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 6 jun 2028
Montana's 1st District margin of victory
Flint, 1+ pts: 50%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Montana's 1st District margin of victory
Forstag, 1+ pts: 44%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
RFK Jr. out as HHS Secretary?
Before Jan 1, 2029: 75%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2029
Virginia's 9th District margin of victory
Griffith, 21+ pts: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Virginia's 11th District margin of victory
Walkinshaw, 20+ pts: 98%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Mississippi's 4th District margin of victory
Ezell, 25+ pts: 89%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Washington's 1st District margin of victory
DelBene, 26+ pts: 94%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
New Jersey 05 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 220K: 87%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Ontario Liberal Party leadership election winner?
Lee Fairclough: 45%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 21 nov 2027
Missouri's 5th District margin of victory
Democrats, 3+ pts: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Will NJ Transit rail on-time performance reach 90% in November?
No: 78%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 5 ene 2027
North Dakota margin of victory
Fedorchak, 18+ pts: 91%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Nebraska's 1st District margin of victory
Flood, 1+ pts: 76%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
New Jersey 06 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 150K: 92%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Nebraska's 2nd District margin of victory
No: 96%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Minnesota's 8th District margin of victory
Stauber, 1+ pts: 82%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
New Hampshire's 2nd District margin of victory
Goodlander, 19+ pts: 98%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Minnesota's 6th District margin of victory
Emmer, 4+ pts: 83%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
New Hampshire Governor margin of victory
No: 80%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
New Jersey 08 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 75K: 98%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027