Mercados de predicción de Política
Contratos de eventos de Kalshi en vivo sobre elecciones, el Congreso, políticas y líderes mundiales. Los precios muestran las probabilidades del público, no certezas.
Datos de Kalshi, actualizados ….
Solo informativo. No es asesoramiento financiero ni de apuestas. Las probabilidades reflejan precios de mercado, no certezas.
Colorado Senate winner? (2028)
Democratic party: 94%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 7 nov 2029
Philippine Senate election winner?
NPC: 45%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 31 may 2029
Which ballot measures will pass in San Francisco?
Proposition C: 78%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Michigan's 13th District margin of victory
McKinney, 36+ pts: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Michigan's 11th District margin of victory
Moss, 11+ pts: 92%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave?
Before Jan 2027: 63%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 2 ene 2027
Michigan's 10th District margin of victory
Bouchard, 1+ pts: 33%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Who will be the next Senate Judiciary chair?
Sheldon Whitehouse: 56%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 8 ene 2028
North Carolina governor winner? (2028)
Democratic: 68%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 7 nov 2029
Australian Senate election winner?
Australian Labor Party: 69%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 20 may 2029
Michigan's 6th District margin of victory
Dingell, 20+ pts: 91%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Michigan's 5th District margin of victory
Walberg, 13+ pts: 84%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Michigan's 4th District margin of victory
Huizenga, 2+ pts: 52%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Michigan's 4th District margin of victory
McCann, 1+ pts: 70%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Michigan's 3rd District margin of victory
Scholten, 7+ pts: 87%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Who will be the next President of the European Central Bank?
Pablo Hernández de Cos: 42%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 8 ene 2028
Pete Hoekstra out as US Ambassador to Canada?
Before Jan 1, 2028: 30%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2028
Maine Governor margin of victory
No: 96%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Maine's 2nd District margin of victory
Dunlap, 3+ pts: 29%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Maryland's 8th District margin of victory
Raskin, 50+ pts: 93%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Maryland's 1st District margin of victory
Harris, 2+ pts: 69%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Massachusetts's 6th District margin of victory
Koh, 19+ pts: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Massachusetts's 5th District margin of victory
Clark, 54+ pts: 99%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Massachusetts's 4th District margin of victory
Auchincloss, 17+ pts: 96%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Massachusetts's 3rd District margin of victory
Trahan, 19+ pts: 96%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Massachusetts's 2nd District margin of victory
McGovern, 20+ pts: 99%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Massachusetts's 1st District margin of victory
Neal, 12+ pts: 96%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Louisiana's 6th District margin of victory
Democrats, 31+ pts: 18%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Louisiana's 5th District margin of victory
Republicans, 9+ pts: 94%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
When will Canada and the EU begin association talks?
Before Jan 1, 2028: 64%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2028
Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run?
Pete Buttigieg: 28%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 7 nov 2028
Louisiana's 1st District margin of victory
Republicans, 20+ pts: 89%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Kentucky's 6th District margin of victory
Dembo, 1+ pts: 40%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Kentucky's 5th District margin of victory
Rogers, 42+ pts: 89%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Kansas's 4th District margin of victory
Estes, 5+ pts: 90%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Kansas's 3rd District margin of victory
Davids, 5+ pts: 94%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Kansas's 1st District margin of victory
Mann, 16+ pts: 87%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Indiana's 6th District margin of victory
Shreve, 16+ pts: 87%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Indiana's 5th District margin of victory
Spartz, 1+ pts: 81%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Indiana's 4th District margin of victory
Baird, 13+ pts: 96%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Indiana's 2nd District margin of victory
Yakym, 10+ pts: 86%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Indiana's 1st District margin of victory
Mrvan, 3+ pts: 88%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Illinois's 6th District margin of victory
Casten, 5+ pts: 92%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Illinois's 4th District margin of victory
Garcia, 27+ pts: 94%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Illinois's 3rd District margin of victory
Ramirez, 30+ pts: 92%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Will SCOTUS bar Watanabe’s Bivens medical-care claim?
Yes: 79%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ago 2028
Georgia Senate margin of victory
No: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Delaware governor winner? (2028)
Democratic party: 92%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 7 nov 2029