Mercados de predicción de Política
Contratos de eventos de Kalshi en vivo sobre elecciones, el Congreso, políticas y líderes mundiales. Los precios muestran las probabilidades del público, no certezas.
Datos de Kalshi, actualizados ….
Solo informativo. No es asesoramiento financiero ni de apuestas. Las probabilidades reflejan precios de mercado, no certezas.
Will the 2028 presidential election occur?
Yes: 92%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 dic 2028
Georgia's 14th District margin of victory
Fuller, 12+ pts: 92%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Georgia's 13th District margin of victory
Clark, 34+ pts: 93%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Georgia's 12th District margin of victory
Allen, 2+ pts: 81%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
2028 Presidential matchup
Jon Ossoff v. JD Vance: 13%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 7 nov 2028
Washington 03 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 260K: 98%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Massachusetts 03 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 190K: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Georgia's 11th District margin of victory
Cowan, 7+ pts: 83%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Will Trump invoke the Taft-Hartley Act during his presidency?
Before Jan 20, 2029: 26%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 20 ene 2029
Georgia's 8th District margin of victory
Scott, 17+ pts: 90%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Georgia's 7th District margin of victory
McCormick, 3+ pts: 88%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Georgia's 6th District margin of victory
McBath, 41+ pts: 91%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Georgia's 5th District margin of victory
Williams, 59+ pts: 96%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Georgia's 4th District margin of victory
Johnson, 46+ pts: 97%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Dutch Provincial Elections winner?
PRO: 78%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 16 mar 2028
Will Trump recognize Somaliland?
Before Jan 20, 2029: 52%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 20 ene 2029
Massachusetts 02 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 120K: 97%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Georgia's 3rd District margin of victory
Jack, 8+ pts: 93%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Will Trump recognize Taiwan?
Before Jan 20, 2029: 10%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 20 ene 2029
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?
No other person: 41%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 20 ene 2029
Turkish general election winner?
AKP: 68%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 7 may 2029
Florida's 27th District margin of victory
Rodriguez, 1+ pts: 35%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Will Trump be held liable for January 6th in any court?
No: 80%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 20 ene 2029
Florida's 26th District margin of victory
Diaz-Balart, 1+ pts: 81%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Manhattan congestion-zone vehicle entries in 2026?
Above 170 million: 78%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 8 ene 2027
When will the NHS decide to end its Palantir contract?
Before Apr 1, 2027: 64%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 abr 2027
Will Wyoming create a Digital Asset Authority?
No: 68%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 abr 2027
Will nonstop U.S.–Lebanon passenger flights resume?
Before Apr 1, 2027: 24%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 abr 2027
Will China approve extra central government bonds of at least 1 trillion yuan?
No: 85%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 abr 2027
Will Trump abolish the Department of Education?
No: 88%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 20 ene 2029
Florida's 16th District margin of victory
No: 85%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Will Israel and Syria normalize relations during Trump's term?
No: 85%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 20 ene 2029
Florida's 15th District margin of victory
Lee, 1+ pts: 91%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Florida's 15th District margin of victory
People, 2+ pts: 12%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Florida's 13th District margin of victory
Luna, 1+ pts: 65%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Florida's 13th District margin of victory
Gray, 2+ pts: 27%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Florida's 12th District margin of victory
Bilirakis, 1+ pts: 84%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Florida 27 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 200K: 91%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Florida's 11th District margin of victory
Strada, 1+ pts: 81%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Florida's 10th District margin of victory
Frost, 45+ pts: 97%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Florida's 9th District margin of victory
Soto, 10+ pts: 14%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Florida's 6th District margin of victory
Fine, 12+ pts: 80%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
When will NCAA settlement back-pay payments begin?
Before Jan 1, 2029: 27%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2029
Florida's 5th District margin of victory
Rutherford, 5+ pts: 80%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Florida's 4th District margin of victory
Bean, 3+ pts: 71%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Will NJ Transit rail on-time performance reach 90% in November?
No: 78%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 5 ene 2027
Florida's 4th District margin of victory
No: 91%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Florida's 3rd District margin of victory
Cammack, 5+ pts: 77%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027