Mercados de predicción de Política
Contratos de eventos de Kalshi en vivo sobre elecciones, el Congreso, políticas y líderes mundiales. Los precios muestran las probabilidades del público, no certezas.
Datos de Kalshi, actualizados ….
Solo informativo. No es asesoramiento financiero ni de apuestas. Las probabilidades reflejan precios de mercado, no certezas.
Kansas's 2nd District margin of victory
Schmidt, 1+ pts: 84%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Kansas's 1st District margin of victory
Mann, 16+ pts: 87%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Montana's 1st District margin of victory
Flint, 1+ pts: 50%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Illinois's 6th District margin of victory
Casten, 5+ pts: 92%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
New York's 20th District margin of victory
Tonko, 17+ pts: 93%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
New York's 19th District margin of victory
No: 89%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Illinois's 4th District margin of victory
Garcia, 27+ pts: 94%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Illinois's 3rd District margin of victory
Ramirez, 30+ pts: 92%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
New York's 3rd District margin of victory
Suozzi, 2+ pts: 80%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Montana's 2nd District margin of victory
Downing, 13+ pts: 89%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
New York's 2nd District margin of victory
No: 84%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
New York's 1st District margin of victory
LaLota, 1+ pts: 85%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Nevada's 2nd District margin of victory
Flippo, 1+ pts: 73%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Will SCOTUS bar Watanabe’s Bivens medical-care claim?
Yes: 79%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ago 2028
Georgia Senate margin of victory
No: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Delaware governor winner? (2028)
Democratic party: 92%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 7 nov 2029
Washington's 4th District margin of victory
McKinney, 2+ pts: 88%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Washington's 5th District margin of victory
No: 80%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Will Chuck Schumer run for reelection?
No: 69%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 6 abr 2028
Will the 2028 presidential election occur?
Yes: 92%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 dic 2028
Georgia's 14th District margin of victory
Fuller, 12+ pts: 92%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Georgia's 13th District margin of victory
Clark, 34+ pts: 93%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Florida Senate winner? (2028)
Republican party: 89%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 7 nov 2029
Georgia's 12th District margin of victory
Allen, 2+ pts: 81%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Illinois Senate winner? (2028)
Democratic party: 92%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 7 nov 2029
2028 Presidential matchup
Jon Ossoff v. JD Vance: 13%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 7 nov 2028
Washington 03 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 260K: 98%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Massachusetts 03 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 190K: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
New Jersey's 1st District margin of victory
Norcross, 18+ pts: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Georgia's 11th District margin of victory
Cowan, 7+ pts: 83%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Will Trump invoke the Taft-Hartley Act during his presidency?
Before Jan 20, 2029: 26%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 20 ene 2029
Washington's 5th District margin of victory
Baumgartner, 1+ pts: 83%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Georgia's 8th District margin of victory
Scott, 17+ pts: 90%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Dutch Provincial Elections winner?
PRO: 78%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 16 mar 2028
Georgia's 7th District margin of victory
McCormick, 3+ pts: 88%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Massachusetts 02 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 120K: 97%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Georgia's 3rd District margin of victory
Jack, 8+ pts: 92%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Will Trump recognize Somaliland?
Before Jan 20, 2029: 52%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 20 ene 2029
Will Trump recognize Taiwan?
Before Jan 20, 2029: 10%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 20 ene 2029
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?
No other person: 41%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 20 ene 2029
Washington's 6th District margin of victory
Randall, 14+ pts: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Turkish general election winner?
AKP: 68%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 7 may 2029
Will SCOTUS allow religious chilling-effect claims without a final land-use decision?
Yes: 83%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ago 2028
New Hampshire Governor margin of victory
No: 80%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Washington's 7th District margin of victory
Jayapal, 65+ pts: 95%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Manhattan congestion-zone vehicle entries in 2026?
Above 170 million: 78%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 8 ene 2027
When will the NHS decide to end its Palantir contract?
Before Apr 1, 2027: 64%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 abr 2027
Will Trump be held liable for January 6th in any court?
No: 80%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 20 ene 2029