Mercados de predicción de Política
Contratos de eventos de Kalshi en vivo sobre elecciones, el Congreso, políticas y líderes mundiales. Los precios muestran las probabilidades del público, no certezas.
Datos de Kalshi, actualizados ….
Solo informativo. No es asesoramiento financiero ni de apuestas. Las probabilidades reflejan precios de mercado, no certezas.
North Carolina's 9th District margin of victory
Hudson, 1+ pts: 63%
Vol. 24h $230.1 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Argentina presidential election: first round winner?
Javier Milei: 63%
Vol. 24h $225.1 · Cierra 23 oct 2028
Will Trump impose martial law?
Before Jan 20, 2029: 41%
Vol. 24h $224.8 · Cierra 20 ene 2029
Nebraska's 1st District margin of victory
Flood, 1+ pts: 76%
Vol. 24h $222 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Victorian state election winner?
Liberals and Nationals: 75%
Vol. 24h $221 · Cierra 28 nov 2027
Massachusetts Governor margin of victory
Healey, 14+ pts: 70%
Vol. 24h $215 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Which states will enact data center moratoriums before 2028?
California: 98%
Vol. 24h $209.7 · Cierra 1 ene 2028
Florida's 26th District margin of victory
Diaz-Balart, 1+ pts: 79%
Vol. 24h $208 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
British Columbia election: NDP number of seats?
32 or more: 84%
Vol. 24h $206.5 · Cierra 24 oct 2027
Florida's 21st District margin of victory
Mast, 1+ pts: 81%
Vol. 24h $205 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Iowa Senate General Election: voter turnout
Above 1.10M: 95%
Vol. 24h $204.5 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Mongolian presidential election winner?
Gombojavyn Zandanshatar: 46%
Vol. 24h $203.7 · Cierra 29 jun 2028
Next Serbian presidential election winner?
Student-backed candidate: 58%
Vol. 24h $203.6 · Cierra 27 dic 2027
Ohio Governor General Election: voter turnout
Above 3.5M: 96%
Vol. 24h $202.5 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
How many House seats will Democrats win in South Carolina?
1: 63%
Vol. 24h $202.4 · Cierra 13 may 2027
Will the 11th Circuit rule non-intervened False Claims Act qui tam suits unconstitutional?
No: 99%
Vol. 24h $202 · Cierra 1 ene 2028
Will the US take control of any part of Canada?
No: 90%
Vol. 24h $201.5 · Cierra 21 ene 2029
Arizona's 2nd District margin of victory
Nez, 2+ pts: 19%
Vol. 24h $201.2 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Michigan's 7th District margin of victory
Barrett, 2+ pts: 20%
Vol. 24h $201.2 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Virginia's 5th District margin of victory
No: 64%
Vol. 24h $201 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Hawaii 02 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 150K: 96%
Vol. 24h $200 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Delaware Senate margin of victory
Democrats, 20+ pts: 100%
Vol. 24h $200 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
How many Trump-won districts will Democrats win in 2026?
At least 10: 99%
Vol. 24h $200 · Cierra 15 dic 2026
How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress in 2026?
At least 1: 35%
Vol. 24h $200 · Cierra 1 feb 2027
New Jersey's 7th District margin of victory
Bennett, 2+ pts: 85%
Vol. 24h $200 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
New Mexico Governor margin of victory
Haaland, 1+ pts: 92%
Vol. 24h $200 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Which ballot measures will pass in North Carolina?
Voter Identification Amendment: 88%
Vol. 24h $200 · Cierra 2 nov 2027
Alaska Senate margin of victory
Dan Sullivan, 2+ pts: 18%
Vol. 24h $200 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Florida's 16th District margin of victory
Gruters, 1+ pts: 72%
Vol. 24h $200 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Delaware Senate General Election: voter turnout
Above 280K: 95%
Vol. 24h $200 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Tennessee Senate margin of victory
Hagerty, 4+ pts: 95%
Vol. 24h $200 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Michigan Governor General Election: voter turnout
Above 3.80M: 95%
Vol. 24h $200 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Virginia's 7th District margin of victory
Vindman, 5+ pts: 84%
Vol. 24h $200 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Next French presidential election: 2nd place (1st round)
Jean-Luc Mélenchon: 29%
Vol. 24h $200 · Cierra 18 abr 2028
Texas's 22nd District margin of victory
Nehls, 3+ pts: 91%
Vol. 24h $200 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Will the D.C. Circuit fully affirm the Perkins Coie ruling?
Yes: 65%
Vol. 24h $200 · Cierra 1 ene 2028
Florida's 8th District margin of victory
Haridopolos, 1+ pts: 91%
Vol. 24h $200 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Virginia 01 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 270K: 96%
Vol. 24h $200 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Iowa 03 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 270K: 95%
Vol. 24h $200 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Nevada Governor General Election: voter turnout
Above 870K: 93%
Vol. 24h $200 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Hawaii 01 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 150K: 87%
Vol. 24h $200 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Iowa 02 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 280K: 95%
Vol. 24h $200 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Will Brigitte Macron win her defamation lawsuit against Candace Owens?
Yes: 63%
Vol. 24h $199.5 · Cierra 1 ene 2028
How many U.S. visas will be revoked in 2026?
At least 100,000: 90%
Vol. 24h $197.9 · Cierra 1 abr 2027
South Carolina's 1st District margin of victory
Honeycutt, 1+ pts: 69%
Vol. 24h $194.9 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Massachusetts's 3rd District margin of victory
Trahan, 19+ pts: 95%
Vol. 24h $194 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Will Maryland award the Key Bridge main span contract by summer 2027?
Yes: 56%
Vol. 24h $189 · Cierra 1 oct 2027
Scott Bessent announces departure as Secretary of the Treasury?
Before Jan 1, 2029: 90%
Vol. 24h $185 · Cierra 1 ene 2029