Mercados de predicción de Política
Contratos de eventos de Kalshi en vivo sobre elecciones, el Congreso, políticas y líderes mundiales. Los precios muestran las probabilidades del público, no certezas.
Datos de Kalshi, actualizados ….
Solo informativo. No es asesoramiento financiero ni de apuestas. Las probabilidades reflejan precios de mercado, no certezas.
Georgia: Which elections will be won outright?
Lieutenant Governor: 97%
Vol. 24h $187.3 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Scott Bessent announces departure as Secretary of the Treasury?
Before Jan 1, 2029: 90%
Vol. 24h $185 · Cierra 1 ene 2029
New Hampshire Governor-Senate combo
Kelly Ayotte and Chris Pappas win: 88%
Vol. 24h $184.8 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Iowa Governor General Election: voter turnout
Above 1.10M: 91%
Vol. 24h $182.8 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Virginia Senate General Election: voter turnout
Above 2.80M: 91%
Vol. 24h $178.2 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Nevada's 1st District margin of victory
Titus, 1+ pts: 86%
Vol. 24h $178 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
How low will Trump's approval rating get during his term?
Below 36%: 93%
Vol. 24h $176.2 · Cierra 27 ene 2029
Will US Supreme Court ban transgender girls and women from competing on female sports teams?
No: 79%
Vol. 24h $175.4 · Cierra 1 ene 2029
Georgia Senate margin of victory
No: 96%
Vol. 24h $174 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Texas 01 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 160K: 96%
Vol. 24h $174 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Montana's 1st District margin of victory
Forstag, 1+ pts: 44%
Vol. 24h $171.6 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Will Trump run for a third term?
Before Election Day: 17%
Vol. 24h $169.1 · Cierra 7 nov 2028
Georgia Lieutenant Governor winner?
Josh McLaurin: 57%
Vol. 24h $166 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Will Zohran Mamdani become President of the United States before Jan 22, 2045?
No: 88%
Vol. 24h $165.1 · Cierra 29 ene 2045
North Carolina Senate General Election: voter turnout
Above 3.40M: 95%
Vol. 24h $163.9 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Will Democrats win any statewide election in Texas in 2026? (Blexas)
Yes: 70%
Vol. 24h $163.4 · Cierra 2 nov 2027
Arkansas Senate margin of victory
Cotton, 2+ pts: 87%
Vol. 24h $160.5 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Iowa's 1st District margin of victory
Bohannan, 3+ pts: 76%
Vol. 24h $158 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Arkansas Senate General Election: voter turnout
Above 750K: 94%
Vol. 24h $157.4 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Hawaii Governor margin of victory
Green, 14+ pts: 96%
Vol. 24h $157 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
New York 17 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 220K: 97%
Vol. 24h $156.4 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Virginia's 1st District margin of victory
Wittman, 1+ pts: 34%
Vol. 24h $154 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Nevada Governor margin of victory
Ford, 1+ pts: 59%
Vol. 24h $150.3 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Queens County, New York: Kathy Hochul vote percent
At least 56%: 97%
Vol. 24h $149.1 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Nevada's 4th District margin of victory
Horsford, 1+ pts: 92%
Vol. 24h $146 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
California 16 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 180K: 94%
Vol. 24h $145 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Which ballot measures will pass in Massachusetts?
Question 1: 95%
Vol. 24h $145 · Cierra 2 nov 2027
Which G7 leader will leave office next?
Emmanuel Macron: 72%
Vol. 24h $141.2 · Cierra 1 ene 2045
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Marine Le Pen: 92%
Vol. 24h $141 · Cierra 30 jun 2027
Massachusetts's 1st District margin of victory
Neal, 12+ pts: 95%
Vol. 24h $140 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Will Pete Hegseth be impeached?
Before Jul 1, 2027: 66%
Vol. 24h $138.8 · Cierra 1 jul 2027
Indiana 05 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 180K: 94%
Vol. 24h $138 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Will Iowa vote to require a two-thirds vote to raise the income tax?
No: 51%
Vol. 24h $137.6 · Cierra 2 nov 2027
Who will leave office first: RFK Jr., Hegseth, or Patel?
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: 42%
Vol. 24h $135.6 · Cierra 20 ene 2029
New Hampshire Senate General Election: voter turnout
Above 530K: 90%
Vol. 24h $130 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Kansas Senate margin of victory
Hamilton, 1+ pts: 37%
Vol. 24h $129.5 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Virginia's 4th District margin of victory
McClellan, 12+ pts: 97%
Vol. 24h $127.3 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
California Proposition 40 election: Yes vote percent
At least 40%: 78%
Vol. 24h $125 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Who will run for president in 2028?
Thomas Massie: 45%
Vol. 24h $122.6 · Cierra 7 nov 2028
Kentucky's 2nd District margin of victory
Guthrie, 24+ pts: 90%
Vol. 24h $120 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Missouri's 4th District margin of victory
Republicans, 8+ pts: 94%
Vol. 24h $120 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Pennsylvania's 10th District margin of victory
Stelson, 1+ pts: 76%
Vol. 24h $119 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
North Carolina's 1st District margin of victory
Davis, 1+ pts: 62%
Vol. 24h $116.5 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Nevada's 2nd District margin of victory
Flippo, 1+ pts: 73%
Vol. 24h $114.7 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Oregon Governor General Election: voter turnout
Above 1.6M: 90%
Vol. 24h $112.8 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Midterms: Republican share of Black vote?
Above 6%: 92%
Vol. 24h $111 · Cierra 6 nov 2026
Ohio's 15th District margin of victory
Leonard, 1+ pts: 30%
Vol. 24h $110 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Which ballot measures will pass in Rhode Island?
Economic & Infrastructure Bond: 92%
Vol. 24h $108.6 · Cierra 2 nov 2027