Mercados de predicción de Política
Contratos de eventos de Kalshi en vivo sobre elecciones, el Congreso, políticas y líderes mundiales. Los precios muestran las probabilidades del público, no certezas.
Datos de Kalshi, actualizados ….
Solo informativo. No es asesoramiento financiero ni de apuestas. Las probabilidades reflejan precios de mercado, no certezas.
Midterms: Republican share of Black vote?
Above 6%: 92%
Vol. 24h $111 · Cierra 6 nov 2026
Ohio's 15th District margin of victory
Leonard, 1+ pts: 30%
Vol. 24h $110 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Which ballot measures will pass in Rhode Island?
Economic & Infrastructure Bond: 92%
Vol. 24h $108.6 · Cierra 2 nov 2027
Texas's 24th District margin of victory
Duyne, 1+ pts: 86%
Vol. 24h $107.6 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Missouri's 2nd District margin of victory
Republicans, 1+ pts: 69%
Vol. 24h $105.6 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Which cryptocurrencies will the Treasury purchase during Trump's term?
Bitcoin: 16%
Vol. 24h $104.3 · Cierra 21 ene 2029
Ohio's 10th District margin of victory
No: 83%
Vol. 24h $101.2 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
When will Kamala Harris announce her presidential candidacy?
Before Jul 1, 2027: 55%
Vol. 24h $101 · Cierra 1 oct 2027
Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act?
Before Jan 1, 2028: 49%
Vol. 24h $101 · Cierra 20 ene 2029
New Hampshire Governor margin of victory
Ayotte, 2+ pts: 90%
Vol. 24h $100.6 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
California's 11th District margin of victory
Scott Wiener, 1+ pts: 76%
Vol. 24h $100 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Prime Minister of Sweden after the general election?
Magdalena Andersson: 77%
Vol. 24h $100 · Cierra 1 ene 2028
Virginia 04 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 180K: 96%
Vol. 24h $100 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Virginia's 11th District margin of victory
Walkinshaw, 20+ pts: 98%
Vol. 24h $100 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
California 24 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 170K: 96%
Vol. 24h $99 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Massachusetts 02 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 120K: 97%
Vol. 24h $99 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
New York's 17th District margin of victory
Conley, 1+ pts: 51%
Vol. 24h $97 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Indiana's 2nd District margin of victory
Yakym, 10+ pts: 86%
Vol. 24h $96 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Who will hold Amy Klobuchar's Senate seat on February 1, 2027?
Kelly Morrison: 32%
Vol. 24h $94.9 · Cierra 1 feb 2027
New Jersey 10 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 100K: 96%
Vol. 24h $94 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Louisiana Senate General Election: voter turnout
Above 1.15M: 97%
Vol. 24h $93 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Dane County, Wisconsin: David Crowley vote percent
At least 72%: 97%
Vol. 24h $91.4 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Indiana's 4th District margin of victory
Baird, 13+ pts: 96%
Vol. 24h $90 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Nebraska Senate margin of victory
Dan Osborn, 1+ pts: 21%
Vol. 24h $89.3 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Virginia 03 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 150K: 95%
Vol. 24h $89 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Iowa Senate winner? (2028)
Republican party: 64%
Vol. 24h $88.2 · Cierra 7 nov 2029
Midterms: Trump approval in the exit poll?
Above 30%: 86%
Vol. 24h $87.8 · Cierra 6 nov 2026
Will Virginia require data centers to use clean energy?
No: 61%
Vol. 24h $87.8 · Cierra 1 ago 2027
Will Tennessee regulate data center water use?
No: 66%
Vol. 24h $87.5 · Cierra 1 ago 2027
Missouri's 3rd District margin of victory
Republicans, 5+ pts: 93%
Vol. 24h $87 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Next Senate Democratic Leader?
Chuck Schumer: 80%
Vol. 24h $87 · Cierra 31 dic 2028
Vermont Governor Winner? (2028)
Republican: 52%
Vol. 24h $86.6 · Cierra 7 nov 2029
Florida's 22nd District margin of victory
Dandiya, 2+ pts: 43%
Vol. 24h $85.3 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
How many House seats will Democrats win in Florida?
Above 10: 20%
Vol. 24h $84 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Minnesota Governor margin of victory
Klobuchar, 2+ pts: 92%
Vol. 24h $83.3 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Minnesota Senate General Election: voter turnout
Above 2.20M: 95%
Vol. 24h $83.3 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Montana's 1st District margin of victory
Flint, 1+ pts: 50%
Vol. 24h $83 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Which ballot measures will pass in Tennessee?
Amendment 3: 85%
Vol. 24h $82.9 · Cierra 2 nov 2027
Michigan Governor margin of victory
Democrats, 2+ pts: 90%
Vol. 24h $82.4 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Will Trump take back the Panama Canal?
No: 77%
Vol. 24h $81.8 · Cierra 20 ene 2029
Will Trump go on SNL during his second term?
No: 84%
Vol. 24h $81.6 · Cierra 20 ene 2029
Tennessee's 9th District margin of victory
Pearson, 61+ pts: 8%
Vol. 24h $78.2 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Minnesota's 1st District margin of victory
Finstad, 1+ pts: 69%
Vol. 24h $77.3 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Virginia 02 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 230K: 95%
Vol. 24h $74 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Alaska Senate margin of victory
Mary Peltola, 2+ pts: 58%
Vol. 24h $73 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
2028 South Carolina Democratic primary winner?
Kamala Harris: 27%
Vol. 24h $72.5 · Cierra 7 nov 2028
Dallas County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent
At least 64%: 96%
Vol. 24h $72.4 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Which ballot measures will pass in Florida?
Amendment 2: 71%
Vol. 24h $71.6 · Cierra 2 nov 2027