Mercados de predicción de Política
Contratos de eventos de Kalshi en vivo sobre elecciones, el Congreso, políticas y líderes mundiales. Los precios muestran las probabilidades del público, no certezas.
Datos de Kalshi, actualizados ….
Solo informativo. No es asesoramiento financiero ni de apuestas. Las probabilidades reflejan precios de mercado, no certezas.
Florida's 23rd District margin of victory
Frankel, 2+ pts: 96%
Vol. 24h $68 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Florida Governor General Election: voter turnout
Above 6.5M: 89%
Vol. 24h $66 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
California 48 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 170K: 94%
Vol. 24h $63 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Which of these African leaders will leave office next?
Bola Tinubu: 20%
Vol. 24h $62 · Cierra 1 ene 2035
Iowa's 3rd District margin of victory
Garriott, 2+ pts: 73%
Vol. 24h $62 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Minnesota's 7th District margin of victory
Fischbach, 24+ pts: 95%
Vol. 24h $60 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Which Senators will vote for Heidi Overton?
Rand Paul: 71%
Vol. 24h $60 · Cierra 1 ene 2028
New Jersey 12 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 155K: 94%
Vol. 24h $59 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Maryland's 1st District margin of victory
Harris, 2+ pts: 69%
Vol. 24h $57.6 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
New York City mayoral election winner?
Zohran Mamdani: 81%
Vol. 24h $57.5 · Cierra 6 nov 2030
Texas's 30th District margin of victory
Haynes, 40+ pts: 92%
Vol. 24h $57 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Texas's 12th District margin of victory
Goldman, 4+ pts: 93%
Vol. 24h $56.7 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Colorado Senate margin of victory
Hickenlooper, 8+ pts: 91%
Vol. 24h $56.1 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Connecticut Governor General Election: voter turnout
Above 1.00M: 89%
Vol. 24h $56 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Mayor of Johannesburg after municipal elections?
Helen Zille: 51%
Vol. 24h $55.5 · Cierra 31 dic 2027
Michigan's 9th District margin of victory
McClain, 19+ pts: 91%
Vol. 24h $55 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Rhode Island Governor margin of victory
Foulkes, 4+ pts: 90%
Vol. 24h $53.6 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Who will hold Marsha Blackburn's Senate seat on February 1, 2027?
Glenn Jacobs: 38%
Vol. 24h $53.5 · Cierra 1 feb 2027
Tlaxcala Governor winner?
Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera: 65%
Vol. 24h $52.4 · Cierra 6 jun 2028
New Jersey 09 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 115K: 95%
Vol. 24h $51 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Colorado's 4th District margin of victory
Boebert, 2+ pts: 59%
Vol. 24h $50.9 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Franklin County, Ohio: Sherrod Brown vote percent
At least 64%: 96%
Vol. 24h $50.4 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Will Michigan vote to ban utility and contractor campaign contributions?
Yes: 58%
Vol. 24h $50 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Arkansas's 2nd District margin of victory
Hill, 1+ pts: 79%
Vol. 24h $50 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Maryland's 5th District margin of victory
Boafo, 27+ pts: 92%
Vol. 24h $50 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Who will be Israeli national security minister after the election?
Itamar Ben-Gvir: 17%
Vol. 24h $50 · Cierra 27 oct 2027
How many states will elect a governor and senator from different parties this year? (Directional)
At least 1: 98%
Vol. 24h $50 · Cierra 3 nov 2026
Illinois's 7th District margin of victory
Ford, 56+ pts: 94%
Vol. 24h $50 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Arkansas 02 House General Election: voter turnout
Above 220K: 90%
Vol. 24h $50 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Nigerian presidential election winner?
Bola Tinubu: 74%
Vol. 24h $50 · Cierra 28 feb 2028
California's 37th District margin of victory
Sydney Kamlager-Dove, 5+ pts: 94%
Vol. 24h $50 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
2028 Republican Presidential ticket
JD Vance and Marco Rubio: 26%
Vol. 24h $49.4 · Cierra 7 nov 2028
Serbian parliamentary election: Student List vote share?
At least 30%: 95%
Vol. 24h $49.2 · Cierra 25 ene 2027
NYC population change (July 2025 – July 2027)?
Increase 0.01-0.99%: 37%
Vol. 24h $48 · Cierra 1 jun 2028
How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?
Above 40: 18%
Vol. 24h $47 · Cierra 5 ene 2027
Los Angeles County Sheriff winner?
Robert G. Luna: 98%
Vol. 24h $46.8 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Will Ohio vote to constitutionalize in-person voter ID?
Yes: 88%
Vol. 24h $46.5 · Cierra 2 nov 2027
How many independents will be elected to Congress in the midterms?
At least 1: 38%
Vol. 24h $46.3 · Cierra 3 ene 2027
Florida's 1st District margin of victory
Patronis, 11+ pts: 96%
Vol. 24h $46 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Massachusetts Senate margin of victory
Markey, 21+ pts: 94%
Vol. 24h $46 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Finnish general election winner?
Social Democratic Party: 77%
Vol. 24h $45.3 · Cierra 29 abr 2028
Georgia's 1st District margin of victory
Kingston, 3+ pts: 89%
Vol. 24h $45 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Missouri's 1st District margin of victory
Democrats, 49+ pts: 96%
Vol. 24h $44 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Hawaii Governor General Election: voter turnout
Above 330K: 90%
Vol. 24h $42.1 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run?
Pete Buttigieg: 36%
Vol. 24h $42 · Cierra 7 nov 2028
Pennsylvania's 10th District margin of victory
Perry, 2+ pts: 18%
Vol. 24h $42 · Cierra 3 nov 2027
Who will be the next Secretary of the Army?
Adam Telle: 41%
Vol. 24h $41 · Cierra 8 ene 2030
Alabama Senate General Election: voter turnout
Above 1.34M: 88%
Vol. 24h $41 · Cierra 3 nov 2027