What will the peak RONI value for El Niño be during the NDJ 2026-27 season?
Mercados
At least 2.5°C
- Yes79%
- No21%
Volumen $5.7K · Liquidez $3.4K
2.0°C to 2.4°C
- Yes12%
- No88%
Volumen $1.6K · Liquidez $490.3
1.5°C to 1.9°C
- Yes7%
- No93%
Volumen $737 · Liquidez $671
0.5°C to 0.9°C
- Yes5%
- No95%
Volumen $487.1 · Liquidez $323
1.0°C to 1.4°C
- Yes9%
- No91%
Volumen $465.7 · Liquidez $390
Below 0.5°C
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volumen $127 · Liquidez $126
Reglas de resolución
If the peak RONI value during the NDJ 2026-27 season is below 0.5°C, then the market resolves to Yes.
Cómo leer estas probabilidades
Cada precio va de 0 a 1 dólar y se puede leer como la probabilidad que el mercado asigna a un resultado: 0,62 $ equivale aproximadamente a un 62 %. Los precios cambian con cada operación, así que son una estimación colectiva, no una garantía. Antes de operar, revisa las reglas de resolución de arriba, el volumen y la liquidez, y arriesga solo dinero que puedas permitirte perder.
Más mercados de Mundo
What will the peak RONI value be for the NDJ 2026-27 quarter?
At least 2.0°C: 86%
Vol. 24h $23.7 · Cierra 5 abr 2027
What will the peak RONI value be during the 2026-27 El Niño season?
2.5°C to 2.9°C: 56%
Vol. 24h $5.3K · Cierra 15 ago 2027
How much will it rain in Napa in November 2026 through March 2027?
Above 15 inches: 96%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 abr 2027
Will it rain in Ontario, California on Feb 27, 2027?
No: 82%
Vol. 24h $3.9K · Cierra 28 feb 2027
Major volcano eruption in 2026?
At least 1: 60%
Vol. 24h $22 · Cierra 29 jun 2027
Rain in Paris on Sep 3, 2027?
No: 60%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 4 sept 2027
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028?
No: 88%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 31 dic 2028
Will the average minimum temperature in Texas (DFW & IAH) fall below 20°F for at least 2 days within a 4-day span?
Before 2029: 68%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2029
8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?
No: 71%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 ene 2030
EV market share in 2030?
Above 10%: 86%
Vol. 24h $0 · Cierra 1 may 2030
India meets its 2030 climate goals?
Yes: 70%
Vol. 24h $2.4 · Cierra 31 dic 2031
What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?
Oil: 61%
Vol. 24h $31.4 · Cierra 30 dic 2032

