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National Book Award for Nonfiction

Markets

  • A Dead White: An Argument Against White Paint

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $2.2K · Liquidity $1.8K

  • Spawning Season: An Experiment in Queer Parenthood

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $1.9K · Liquidity $1.2K

  • Dangerous, Dirty, Violent, and Young: A Fugitive Family in the Revolutionary Underground

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $1.7K · Liquidity $1.7K

  • Seasons of Fury: Four Families and the Rise of Islamophobia in America

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $1.5K · Liquidity $1.5K

  • The War Within a War: The Black Struggle in Vietnam and at Home

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $1.5K · Liquidity $1.5K

  • The Evolution of Fire: Essays on Crisis and Becoming

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $1.5K · Liquidity $1.5K

  • Huna: A Memoir of Revolution, Prison, and Becoming

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $1.5K · Liquidity $1.3K

  • Mother Tongue

    • Yes15%
    • No85%

    Volume $1.4K · Liquidity $1.4K

  • Let the Poets Govern: A Declaration of Freedom

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $1.3K

  • The Midnight Special: The Secret Prison History of American Music

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $1.3K

  • Tie

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $1.3K

Resolution rules

If 'Seasons of Fury: Four Families and the Rise of Islamophobia in America' wins the award for Nonfiction at the 77th National Book Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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