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National Book Award for Translated Literature

Markets

  • The Disappearing Act

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $3K · Liquidity $1.1K

  • Pure Men

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $1K · Liquidity $645

  • The School of Night

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $655 · Liquidity $555

  • Now I Surrender

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $615 · Liquidity $615

  • Eden at Dawn

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $615 · Liquidity $615

  • My Dreadful Body

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $545 · Liquidity $545

  • To the East of the East

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $545 · Liquidity $545

  • Centroeuropa

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $445 · Liquidity $445

  • Night of a Thousand Hells

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $445 · Liquidity $445

  • Your Presence Is a Danger to Your Life: Voices of Survival and Witness in Gaza

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume $445 · Liquidity $445

  • Tie

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $445 · Liquidity $445

Resolution rules

If 'My Dreadful Body' wins the award for Translated Literature at the 77th National Book Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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