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SOFR at end of Q4 2026

Markets

  • Above 3.75%

    • Yes88%
    • No12%

    Volume $9.3K · Liquidity $1.2K

  • Above 4.00%

    • Yes64%
    • No36%

    Volume $2.8K · Liquidity $2.1K

  • Above 4.75%

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $2.8K · Liquidity $1K

  • Above 4.25%

    • Yes54%
    • No46%

    Volume $2.7K · Liquidity $1.8K

  • Above 4.50%

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $1K · Liquidity $1K

  • Above 3.50%

    • Yes98%
    • No2%

    Volume $773.4 · Liquidity $457

  • Above 3.00%

    • Yes99%
    • No1%

    Volume $404 · Liquidity $403

  • Above 3.25%

    • Yes98%
    • No2%

    Volume $2 · Liquidity $1

Resolution rules

If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q4 2026 is above 3.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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