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Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year?

Markets

  • Will the Fed cut rates more than 25 bps in 2026?

    • Yes3%
    • No98%

    Volume $680.4K · Liquidity $225.5K

Resolution rules

If the Federal Reserve cuts rates by more than 25 basis points before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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