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October 2026 Employment Combo · U3 & NFP

Markets

  • U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: Below 50k

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $267.6 · Liquidity $75.5

  • U3: 4.4% or above, NFP growth: Below 50k

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $210 · Liquidity $150

  • U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: 50-99k

    • Yes15%
    • No85%

    Volume $181.1 · Liquidity $60.5

  • U3: 4.3%, NFP growth: Below 50k

    • Yes22%
    • No78%

    Volume $176.9 · Liquidity $33.9

  • U3: 4.4% or above, NFP growth: 100k or above

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume $165.7 · Liquidity $150

  • U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: 100k or above

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $60.5 · Liquidity $60.5

  • U3: 4.3%, NFP growth: 100k or above

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $22.6 · Liquidity $11.3

  • U3: 4.3%, NFP growth: 50-99k

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $12.3 · Liquidity $11.3

  • U3: 4.2%, NFP growth: Below 50k

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $6 · Liquidity $6

  • U3: 4.2%, NFP growth: 50-99k

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $6 · Liquidity $6

  • U3: 4.2%, NFP growth: 100k or above

    • Yes20%
    • No80%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • U3: 4.4% or above, NFP growth: 50-99k

    • Yes6%
    • No95%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If ALL of the following occur for Oct 2026: U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: Below 50k, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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