US jobs revisions in the report covering October 2026
Markets
Above 0
- Yes36%
- No64%
Volume $63 · Liquidity $63
Above 100,000
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $60 · Liquidity $60
Above 50,000
- Yes17%
- No83%
Volume $2 · Liquidity $2
Above -100,000
- Yes85%
- No15%
Volume $1.1 · Liquidity $1.1
Above -50,000
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Resolution rules
If the U.S. two-month net payroll revision published in the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ initial Employment Situation report covering October 2026 is above -100,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
More Economy markets
Unemployment in October
Above 3.7%: 99%
24h vol $5.3K · Ends Nov 6, 2026
Jobs numbers in October 2026?
Above -25,000: 93%
24h vol $1.1K · Ends Nov 6, 2026
October 2026 Employment Combo · U3 & NFP
U3: 4.3%, NFP growth: Below 50k: 22%
24h vol $1K · Ends Nov 6, 2026
Unemployment rate in Oct 2026?
Exactly 4.2%: 39%
24h vol $511.2 · Ends Nov 6, 2026
US hourly earnings growth in October
Above -0.1%: 90%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 6, 2026
Canada unemployment rate in October
Above 6.0%: 97%
24h vol $52 · Ends Nov 6, 2026
Temporary-help employment in October
Above 2.440 million: 87%
24h vol $36.8 · Ends Nov 6, 2026
FAO Food Price Index for October
Above 131.0: 90%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 6, 2026
US active housing listings in October
Above 1,100,000 listings: 92%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 6, 2026
Bank of Mexico rate decision in November
Maintain current rate: 70%
24h vol $508 · Ends Nov 5, 2026
Czech National Bank rate decision in November
Hike 1-25bps: 89%
24h vol $0 · Ends Nov 5, 2026
Bank of England rate decision in November
Hike 1-25bps: 97%
24h vol $88.3 · Ends Nov 5, 2026