How high will CPI get this year?
Markets
Above 4.5%
- Yes18%
- No82%
Volume $34.1K · Liquidity $12.9K
Above 4.4%
- Yes18%
- No82%
Volume $24.1K · Liquidity $8.3K
Above 4.2%
- Yes16%
- No84%
Volume $16.3K · Liquidity $5.5K
Above 5.0%
- Yes9%
- No91%
Volume $7.3K · Liquidity $4K
Above 4.3%
- Yes16%
- No84%
Volume $6.2K · Liquidity $2.8K
Above 4.6%
- Yes12%
- No88%
Volume $3K · Liquidity $1.2K
Above 4.7%
- Yes12%
- No88%
Volume $524.4 · Liquidity $524.4
Above 4.9%
- Yes8%
- No92%
Volume $289 · Liquidity $203
Above 4.8%
- Yes5%
- No96%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Resolution rules
If any Consumer Price Index (CPI YoY) report is above 4.2% for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
More Economy markets
How high will the 30-year mortgage rate get in 2026?
Above 7.4%: 79%
24h vol $596.3 · Ends Jan 1, 2027
How high will Tokenized Treasuries climb this year?
Above 40 Billion: 39%
24h vol $164 · Ends Jan 1, 2027
How high will Brazil inflation get this year?
Above 4.75%: 87%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Number of Brazil rate cuts in 2026?
7 or more cuts: 64%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Will a NYSE marketwide circuitbreaker happen this year?
No: 92%
24h vol $1.3K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
How rich will Elon Musk get before 2027?
More than $1.4 trillion: 16%
24h vol $1.1K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Will rates hit zero in 2026?
No: 98%
24h vol $799.5 · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year?
No: 98%
24h vol $189.9 · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Will the IMF declare a global recession before 2027?
No: 97%
24h vol $0 · Ends Jan 1, 2027
How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026?
Above 91,500 MW: 4%
24h vol $5K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
2027 Toyota Tacoma starting MSRP
Above $32,000: 91%
24h vol $304.4 · Ends Jan 1, 2027
2027 Toyota RAV4 starting MSRP
Above $32,000: 97%
24h vol $265.7 · Ends Jan 1, 2027

