Annual Return: S&P 500 Total Return Vs. Gold?
Markets
S&P 500 Total Return Index
- Yes94%
- No6%
Volume $16K · Liquidity $5.6K
Gold
- Yes5%
- No95%
Volume $14.3K · Liquidity $4.8K
Resolution rules
If S&P 500 Total Return Index performs above Gold for the period of 2026 by 0.001% then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
More Economy markets
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Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?
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10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026
Above -20bps: 96%
24h vol $200 · Ends Jan 1, 2027
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New Xbox this year?
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Annual Return: S&P 500 vs. S&P 500 Equal Weight Index
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24h vol $80.6 · Ends Jan 1, 2027