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Companies added to the MSCI USA Index in Q4?

Markets

  • US Foods

    • Yes53%
    • No47%

    Volume $1.8K · Liquidity $1.3K

  • Moderna

    • Yes84%
    • No16%

    Volume $800 · Liquidity $200

  • Woodward

    • Yes54%
    • No46%

    Volume $623.3 · Liquidity $610

  • Royal Gold

    • Yes56%
    • No44%

    Volume $489 · Liquidity $407

  • Tenet Healthcare

    • Yes61%
    • No39%

    Volume $214 · Liquidity $200

  • Fervo Energy

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $27 · Liquidity $27

  • IonQ

    • Yes17%
    • No83%

    Volume $0.1 · Liquidity $0.1

  • Oklo

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • X-energy

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If Moderna is announced to be or is officially added to MSCI USA Index during October 1, 2026 to December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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