Annual Return: S&P 500 vs. S&P 500 Equal Weight Index
Markets
S&P 500 Equal Weight Index
- Yes52%
- No48%
Volume $3.1K · Liquidity $434.6
S&P 500 Index
- Yes67%
- No33%
Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $359
Resolution rules
If S&P 500 Index performs above S&P 500 Equal Weight Index during 2026 by 0.001% rounded to the nearest 3rd then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
More Economy markets
Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
Anthropic: 84%
24h vol $6.5K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
No: 93%
24h vol $5.9K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Will Bitcoin outperform gold in 2026?
No: 58%
24h vol $1.9K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Companies removed from the MSCI USA Index in Q4?
Deckers Outdoor: 75%
24h vol $1.4K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Which companies will release a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series before 2027?
Amazon: 19%
24h vol $1.3K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Companies added to the MSCI USA Index in Q4?
Moderna: 84%
24h vol $1.2K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?
Unusual Machines: 35%
24h vol $1.1K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Annual Return: S&P 500 Total Return Vs. Gold?
S&P 500 Total Return Index: 94%
24h vol $563 · Ends Jan 1, 2027
10Y-2Y spread at the end of 2026
Above -20bps: 96%
24h vol $200 · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Annual Return: WTI vs. Brent?
Brent Crude Oil: 82%
24h vol $142.3 · Ends Jan 1, 2027
New Xbox this year?
No: 93%
24h vol $115.4 · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Companies removed from the S&P 500 in Q4?
Kenvue: 92%
24h vol $100 · Ends Jan 1, 2027