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US trade deficit for 2026?

Markets

  • Above 170‎ billion

    • Yes97%
    • No3%

    Volume $5.1K · Liquidity $2.3K

  • 85‎ billion to 94.9‎ billion

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $851

  • 55‎ billion to 64.9‎ billion

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $716

  • 65‎ billion to 74.9‎ billion

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $1K · Liquidity $684

  • 75‎ billion to 84.9‎ billion

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $989 · Liquidity $789

  • 119.6‎ billion to 119.9‎ billion

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $907.5 · Liquidity $703.5

  • 45‎ billion to 54.9‎ billion

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $900 · Liquidity $900

  • Below 45‎ billion

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $824 · Liquidity $668

  • 120‎ billion to 139.9‎ billion

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $800.5 · Liquidity $567.5

  • 95‎ billion to 104.9‎ billion

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $794 · Liquidity $522

  • 105‎ billion to 119.5‎ billion

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $768 · Liquidity $616

  • 140‎ billion to 170‎ billion

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $718.2 · Liquidity $448

Resolution rules

If US trade deficit for 2026 is below 45‎ billion, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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