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Who will be the world's second trillionaire?

Markets

  • Mark Zuckerberg

    • Yes20%
    • No80%

    Volume $10.3K · Liquidity $1.2K

  • Larry Page

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $8K · Liquidity $2.2K

  • Sam Altman

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $6.8K · Liquidity $1.5K

  • Jeff Bezos

    • Yes23%
    • No77%

    Volume $6.7K · Liquidity $1.9K

  • Jensen Huang

    • Yes13%
    • No87%

    Volume $3.9K · Liquidity $1.4K

  • Warren Buffett

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $1.5K · Liquidity $458.6

  • Bernard Arnault & family

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $421.1

  • Steve Ballmer

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $212.6

  • Changpeng Zhao

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $1K · Liquidity $268.2

  • Sergey Brin

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $838.1 · Liquidity $351.7

  • Michael Dell

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $723.8 · Liquidity $268.3

  • Larry Ellison

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $542.1 · Liquidity $308.9

Resolution rules

If Forbes reports that Larry Ellison has become the second person in the world to reach a net worth of at least $1 trillion USD before Jan 1, 2033 then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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