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Fed funds rate at end of 2032

Markets

  • Above 5.75%

    • Yes16%
    • No84%

    Volume $231 · Liquidity $54

  • Above 1.75%

    • Yes91%
    • No9%

    Volume $216.5 · Liquidity $13.3

  • Above 4.75%

    • Yes41%
    • No59%

    Volume $205.4 · Liquidity $132

  • Above 2.25%

    • Yes39%
    • No61%

    Volume $199.6 · Liquidity $134.1

  • Above 5.50%

    • Yes27%
    • No73%

    Volume $170 · Liquidity $71.8

  • Above 4.50%

    • Yes37%
    • No63%

    Volume $163 · Liquidity $41

  • Above 2.00%

    • Yes70%
    • No30%

    Volume $161 · Liquidity $139

  • Above 5.00%

    • Yes30%
    • No70%

    Volume $160.8 · Liquidity $97.2

  • Above 5.25%

    • Yes28%
    • No72%

    Volume $117.4 · Liquidity $34

  • Above 6.00%

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume $107.3 · Liquidity $37.3

  • Above 3.75%

    • Yes21%
    • No79%

    Volume $84.4 · Liquidity $17.2

  • Above 3.25%

    • Yes55%
    • No45%

    Volume $75 · Liquidity $75

  • Above 1.00%

    • Yes46%
    • No54%

    Volume $75 · Liquidity $15

  • Above 1.50%

    • Yes71%
    • No29%

    Volume $72 · Liquidity $53

  • Above 1.25%

    • Yes80%
    • No20%

    Volume $71.6 · Liquidity $27.2

  • Above 4.00%

    • Yes41%
    • No59%

    Volume $41 · Liquidity $34

  • Above 2.75%

    • Yes59%
    • No41%

    Volume $24.6 · Liquidity $14.2

  • Above 4.25%

    • Yes30%
    • No70%

    Volume $17.8 · Liquidity $5.4

  • Above 3.50%

    • Yes37%
    • No63%

    Volume $5 · Liquidity $5

  • Above 2.50%

    • Yes64%
    • No36%

    Volume $3.4 · Liquidity $3

  • Above 3.00%

    • Yes60%
    • No40%

    Volume $0.4 · Liquidity $0.2

Resolution rules

If the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2032, as published on the Federal Reserve’s official website, is above 1.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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