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US trade deficit for 2031

Markets

  • Above $600 billion

    • Yes98%
    • No2%

    Volume $2 · Liquidity $2

  • Above $500 billion

    • Yes97%
    • No3%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above $700 billion

    • Yes97%
    • No4%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above $800 billion

    • Yes93%
    • No7%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above $900 billion

    • Yes81%
    • No19%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above $1.0 trillion

    • Yes62%
    • No38%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above $1.1 trillion

    • Yes51%
    • No49%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Above $1.2 trillion

    • Yes41%
    • No59%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

If the U.S. goods and services deficit for calendar year 2031 is strictly above $500 billion dollars, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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