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When will the S&P 500 Index be above $8,000?

Markets

  • Before Nov 1, 2026

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $15.6K · Liquidity $6.8K

  • Before Oct 1, 2026

    Closed
    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $5.8K · Liquidity $3.8K

  • Before Dec 1, 2026

    • Yes52%
    • No48%

    Volume $5.1K · Liquidity $3.8K

  • Before Jan 1, 2027

    • Yes95%
    • No5%

    Volume $4K · Liquidity $688.4

  • Before Feb 1, 2027

    • Yes67%
    • No33%

    Volume $1.6K · Liquidity $1.3K

  • Before Mar 1, 2027

    • Yes74%
    • No26%

    Volume $251.8 · Liquidity $148.4

  • Before Sep 1, 2026

    Closed
    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $63.6 · Liquidity $63.6

Resolution rules

If the value of the S&P 500 Index is above $8,000 at any point after Issuance and before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

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